The aim of this  case study is to predict weather conditions in the Venice area ahead of a school trip  in late October 2018. The purpose of this interactive exercise is to use and discuss a wide range of ECMWF products. These includes:

Model climatology

Seasonal forecasts (anomalies, verification)

Extended forecasts (anomalies, verification)

Medium-range forecasts (Ensemble mean and spread, cyclonic features, clusters, EFI and SOT)

Weather parameters (precipitation type, point rainfall, wind gusts and waves)


As the case study progresses you will be asked to provide an update of the forecast based on the recent model outputs. Typically : 3 months before, 1 month before, 2 weeks, 7 days, 3 days, 3, 2 and 1 day before

Sections:

Introduction

Model climate

Seasonal forecast

Extended range

Early Medium range

Short range

Outcome and discussions

Useful links:

ECMWF Forecasts

ecCharts

IFS known issues

Severe event catalogue

Forecast User Guide