Status: Finalised Material from: Linus, David, Mohamed
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1. Impact
On the 23-24 December the storm Barbara hit northern Scotland and on 25-27 the storm Conor (named Urd in Norway), hit Scotland, Faroe Islands and Norway. In Sweden the impact was less than expected from Urd.
2. Description of the event
The sequence of plots below show 12-hour forecasts for MSLP and precipitation from 23 to 27 December.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show 24-hour maximum wind gusts valid 26 December from observations (first plots) and forecasts from HRES, including MSLP valid 26 December 12z.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI and SOT for 24-hour maximum wind gust valid 26 December.
The plots below show cyclonic feature plots for maximum winds at 850 hPa inside a 300 km radius, all valid 27 December 00z.
