Thursday 12 February 2015 (in the Large Committee Room)

Aim of the meeting:

Meeting arranged in association with visit of ECMWF Fellow, Professor Tilmann Gneiting, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies

Aim of the meeting:

  • Review results of preliminary study of calibration of ECMWF medium-range forecasts (ECMWF and HITS)
  • Overview of current work on calibration by participants from Member and Co-operating States
  • Discussion of areas for future research
  • Consideration of opportunities for collaborations on future work

Participants:

  • Alexander Kann, Benedikt Bica (ZAMG)
  • Michaël Zamo (Meteo-France)
  • Istvan Ihasz (OMSZ)
  • Reinhold Hess (DWD)
  • Piers Buchanan, Nina Schuhen (Met Office)
  • Tilmann Gneiting, Stephan Hemri, Kira Feldmann (HITS)
  • David Richardson, Thomas Haiden, Florian Pappenberger, Paul Smith, Florence Rabier, Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)

Agenda

  
09:15

 Intro, background (David)

09:30Overview of ECMWF work so far (Stephan Hemri)
10:00 - 13:00 presentations from MS (5 x 30 mins including discussions), plus time for coffee
13:00lunch
14:00Discussion from morning
15:00summary and plans for further collaboration
15:30finish

 

Presentations

Calibration project at ECMWFStephan Hemri

Calibration at ZAMG

Alexander Kann
Met Office gridded calibrationPiers Buchanan

Site-specific post-processing at the Met Office

Nina Schuhen
Calibration with MOS at DWDReinhold Hess

Developments on ensemble calibration at the Hungarian Meteorological Service

István Ihász
Gridded MOS and ensemble calibration at Meteo-FranceMichael Zamo
   
Seminar (given at ECMWF, 11 February 2015):

Statistical Post-Processing of Ensemble Forecasts: Current Developments and Future Directions

Tilmann Gneiting