Status: Finalised Material from: Linus, Esti
1. Impact
Heavy floods have forced the evacuation of 1,600 people on 9 August in southern France and one man is missing. The worst affected area was around Gard, Ardeche and Drome. In one summer camp in Saint-Julien-de-Peyrolas, in the Gard region, 119 children were evacuated.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-45134715
2. Description of the event
The series of plots below show analysis of MSLP and 6-hour precipitation (top) and Z500 and T850 (bottom) from 8 Aug 00z to 9 Aug 12z.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plot below show observed 24-hour precipitation (first plot) valid for 9 August 06z to 10 August 06z and HRES forecasts for 24-hour precipitation valid the same date (shade).
3.3 ENS
The plots below shows EFI and SOT for precipitation valid 10 August.