Status: Finalised Material from: Linus
1. Impact
Between 16-20 December southern Spain was hit by severe rainfall leading to flash floods.
2. Description of the event
The plots below show a series of short forecasts of MSLP and precipiation spanning the period of the event.
The plots below show a series of analyses of z500 and t850 spanning the period of the event.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI and SOT for 3-day precipitation valid16-18 December.
The plot below shows evolution of forecasts for 3-day precipitation in the box 39N-40N, 1W-0W, valid 16-18 December.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plot below shows the verification of monthly forecasts for precipitation 12-18 December.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
3.6 EFAS
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
6. Additional material
Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
1. Impact
Between 16-20 December southern Spain was hit by severe rainfall leading to flash floods.
2. Description of the event
The plots below show a series of short forecasts of MSLP and precipiation spanning the period of the event.
The plots below show a series of analyses of z500 and t850 spanning the period of the event.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI and SOT for 3-day precipitation valid16-18 December.
The plot below shows evolution of forecasts for 3-day precipitation in the box 39N-40N, 1W-0W, valid 16-18 December.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plot below shows the verification of monthly forecasts for precipitation 12-18 December.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
3.6 EFAS