Evaluation Products
| Product name | Description (established over forecast horizon) | Outputs | Forecasting horizon | Forecast Model |
Historical | Maximum lead time (in days) when EFAS medium-range river discharge forecast skill (CRPSS) is greater than 0.5, evaluated against a persistence benchmark forecast (6hr river discharge value persisted from previous time step). Detailed results are shown when clicking on individual stations. | Map Forecast metrics graphs | 10 days | ECMWF-ENS reforecasts (11) | |
Historical | Modified Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) for calibration stations. The KGE ranges from –Inf to 1, with a perfect value of 1. KGE refers to historical data and calibration periods. Detailed results are shown when clicking on corresponding stations in the 'Model Performance - Points' layer. Also shown are catchments where the KGE falls below 0.2, but correlation is above 0.6. These are catchments with large bias, but still have useful information about flood timing. | Map Summary catchment overviews | NA | NA | |
Historical | Modified Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) for calibration stations. The KGE ranges from –Inf to 1, with a perfect value of 1. KGE refers to historical data and calibration periods. Detailed results are shown when clicking on individual stations. | Map | NA | NA |