Below is a list of publications associated with ECMWF's water-related activities. This section summarises the main scientific outputs regarding hydrological modelling and forecasting at ECMWF since 2016. (Publications involving the CEMS-Flood team are in bold). 

Pre-print/ Under review


Accepted

2022

Hunt, K. M. R., Matthews, G. R., Pappenberger, F., and Prudhomme, C.: Using a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network to boost river streamflow forecasts over the western United States, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5449–5472, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5449-2022, 2022

Hales, R. C.Nelson, E. J.Souffront, M.Gutierrez, A. L.Prudhomme, C.Kopp, S.Ames, D. P.Williams, G. P., & Jones, N. L. (2022). Advancing global hydrologic modeling with the GEOGloWS ECMWF streamflow serviceJournal of Flood Risk Management, e12859. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12859

Kelder, T.Marjoribanks, T. I.Slater, L. J.Prudhomme, C.Wilby, R. L.Wagemann, J., & Dunstone, N. (2022). An open workflow to gain insights about low-likelihood high-impact weather events from initialized predictionsMeteorological Applications293), e2065. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2065

Kelder T, Wanders N, van der Wiel K, Marjoribanks TI, Slater LJ, Wilby RI and Prudhomme C. 2022. Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations—are they unseen or unrealistic?  Environ. Res. Lett. 17 044052. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5cf4

Zsoter, E.; Arduini, G.; Prudhomme, C.; Stephens, E.; Cloke, H. Hydrological Impact of the New ECMWF Multi-Layer Snow Scheme. Atmosphere 202213, 727. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13050727

2021

Slater, L.J., Anderson, B., Buechel, M., Dadson, S., Han, S., Harrigan, S., Kelder, T., Kowal, K., Lees, T., Matthews, T., Murphy, C., Wilby, R.L., 2021. Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3897–3935, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3897-2021, 2021

Roebroek J, Harrigan S, van Emmerik T, Baugh C, Eilander D, Prudhomme C, Pappenberger F., 2021. Plastic in global rivers: are floods making it worse?, Environmental Research Letters, 16, 025003, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd5df

Donegan, S., Murphy, C., Harrigan, S., Broderick, C., Foran Quinn, D., Golian, S., Knight, J., Matthews, T., Prudhomme, C., Scaife, A. A., Stringer, N., and Wilby, R. L. 2021: Conditioning ensemble streamflow prediction with the North Atlantic Oscillation improves skill at longer lead times, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4159–4183, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-4159-2021

Hughes A., Mansour M., Ward R., Kieboom N., Allen S., Seccombe D., Charlton M., C Prudhomme, 2021. The impact of climate change on groundwater recharge: National-scale assessment for the British mainland, Journal of Hydrology, Volume 598, 126336, ISSN 0022-1694, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126336.

Lavers, D. A, Harrigan, S., and Prudhomme, C.. 2021. Precipitation Biases in the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System, Journal of Hydrometeorology, JHM-D-20-0308, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0308.1 .

Tanguy M, Haslinger K, Svensson C, Parry S, Barker LJ, Hannaford J, Prudhomme C, 2021. Regional differences in spatiotemporal drought characteristics in Great Britain. Submitted to Frontiers in Environmental Science, Manuscript ID: 639649, https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.639649

Zsótér, E, Baugh, C, Hansford, E, O'Regan, K, Vitolo, C, Wetterhall, F, Prudhomme, C, 2021. Floods, droughts, fire, and beyond ... are existing forecasts enough? ECMWF Technical Memorandum, 876, 19p, https://www.ecmwf.int/node/19907, DOI: 10.21957/zacdgwze2

2020

Alfieri, Lorenzo & Cohen, Sagy & Galantowicz, John & Schumann, GJ-P & Trigg, Mark & Zsoter, Ervin & Prudhomme, Christel & Kruczkiewicz, Andrew & Perez, E & Flamig, Zachary & Rudari, Roberto & Wu, Huan & Adler, Robert & Brakenridge, Robert & Kettner, Albert & Weerts, Albrecht & Matgen, Patrick & Islam, SAKM & De Groeve, Tom & Salamon, Peter., 2020. The Global Flood Partnership. 10.1002/9781119427339.ch17.

Birk S., Chapman D., Carvalho L., Spears BM., Andersen H.E., Argillier C., Auer S., Baattrup-Pedersen A., Banin L., Beklioğlu8 M., Bondar-Kunze E., Borja A., Branco P., Bucak T., Buijse A.D., Cardoso A.C., Couture R.-M., Cremona F., de Zwart D., Feld C.K., Ferreira M.T., Feuchtmayr H., Gessner M.O., Gieswein A., Globevnik L., Graeber D., Graf W., Gutiérrez-Cánovas C., Hanganu J., Işkın U., Järvinen M., Jeppesen E., Kotamäki N., Kuijper M., Lemm J.U., Lu S., Solheim A.L., Mischke U., Moe S.J., Nõges P., Nõges T., Ormerod S.J., Panagopoulos Y., Phillips G., Posthuma L., Pouso S., Prudhomme C., Rankinen K., Rasmussen J.J., Richardson J., Sagouis A., Santos J.M., Schäfer R.B., Schinegger R., Schmutz S., Schneider S.C., Schülting L., Segurado P., Stefanidis K., Sures B., Thackeray S.J., Turunen J., Uyarra M.C., Venohr M., von der Ohe P.C., Willby N., Hering D., 2020. Impacts of multiple stressors on freshwater biota across spatial scales and ecosystems. Nature Ecology and Evolution, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-1216-4

Di Napoli, C, Barnard, C, Prudhomme, C, Cloke, HL, Pappenberger, F. ERA5‐HEAT: A global gridded historical dataset of human thermal comfort indices from climate reanalysis. Geosci. Data J.. 2020; 00: 1– 9. https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.102

Harrigan, S., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F., 2020. Innovating global hydrological prediction through an Earth system approach. WMO Bulletin 69 (1), https://public.wmo.int/en/resources/bulletin/innovating-global-hydrological-prediction-through-earth-system-approach

Huml J, Harris W, Taylor M, Sen R, Prudhomme C, Ellis JS, 2020. Pollution control can help mitigate future climate change impact on European grayling in the UK, Diversity and Distributions 26 (4), 5

Jurlina T., Baugh C., Pappenberger F., Prudhomme C., 2020. Flood hazard risk forecasting index (FHRFI) for urban areas: The Hurricane Harvey case study. Meteorol Appl. 2020; 27:e1845. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1845

Kelder, T., Müller, M., Slater, L.J., Marjoribanks T, Wilby RL., Prudhomme C., Bohlinger P., Ferranti L., NipenT., 2020 . Using UNSEEN trends to detect decadal changes in 100-year precipitation extremes. npj Clim Atmos Sci 3, 47. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-00149-4

Lavers D, Ramos M-H, Magnusson L, Pechlivanidis I, Klein B, Prudhomme C, Arnal L, Crochemore L, Van Den Hurk B, Weerts A, Harrigan S, Cloke H, Richardson D, Pappenberger F, 2020. A Vision for Hydrological Prediction, Atmosphere, 1(3), 237; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11030237

Murphy, C., Wilby, R.L., Matthews, T.K.R., Thorne, P., Broderick, C., Fealy, R., Hall, J., Harrigan, S., Jones, P., McCarthy, G., MacDonald, N., Noone, S., Ryan, C., 2020. Multi-century trends to wetter winters and drier summers in the England and Wales precipitation series explained by observational and sampling bias in early records. International Journal of Climatology 40, 610–619, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6208 

Yu, D., Yin, J., Wilby, R.L., Lane, S.N., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Lin N., Liu M., Yuan H., Chen J., Prudhomme C., Guan M., Baruch A., Johnson C.W.D., Tang X., Yu L. & Xu S., 2020 Disruption of emergency response to vulnerable populations during floods. Nat Sustain (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-0516-7

2019

Barker L.J., Hannaford J., Parry S., Smith K.A., Tanguy M., Prudhomme C. 2019 Historic hydrological droughts 1891–2015: systematic characterisation for a diverse set of catchments across the UK. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23 (11). 4583-4602. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4583-2019

Berghuijs, W.R., Harrigan, S., Molnar, P., Slater, L.J., Kirchner, J.W., 2019. The Relative Importance of Different Flood-Generating Mechanisms Across Europe. Water Resources Research 55, 4582–4593, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR024841

Berghuijs, W.R., Allen, S.T., Harrigan, S., Kirchner, J.W., 2019. Growing spatial scales of synchronous river flooding in Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081883

Blöschl, G., Hall, J., Viglione, A., Perdigão, R.A.P., Parajka, J., Merz, B., Lun, D., Arheimer, B., Aronica, G.T., Bilibashi, A., Boháč, M., Bonacci, O., Borga, M., Čanjevac, I., Castellarin, A., Chirico, G.B., Claps, P., Frolova, N., Ganora, D., Gorbachova, L., Gül, A., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Kireeva, M., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T.R., Kohnová, S., Koskela, J.J., Ledvinka, O., Macdonald, N., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Mediero, L., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Murphy, C., Osuch, M., Ovcharuk, V., Radevski, I., Salinas, J.L., Sauquet, E., Šraj, M., Szolgay, J., Volpi, E., Wilson, D., Zaimi, K., Živković, N., 2019. Changing climate both increases and decreases European river floods. Nature 573, 108–111, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1495-6 

Broderick C, Murphy C, Wilby Rl, Matthews T, Prudhomme C, Adamson M, 2019. Using a scenario‐neutral framework to avoid potential maladaptation to future flood risk. Water resources research, 55(2), p1079-1104, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023623

Lavers, D.A., Harrigan S., Andersson E., Richardson D.S., Prudhomme C., Pappenberger F., 2019, A vision for improving global flood forecasting, Environmental Research Letters, 14 121002, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab52b2

Samaniego, L., Thober S., Wanders N., Pan M., Rakovec O., Sheffield J., Wood E.F., Prudhomme C., Rees G., Houghton-Carr H., Fry M., Smith K., Watts G., Hisdal H., Estrela T., Buontempo C., Marx A., Kumar R., 2019: Hydrological Forecasts and Projections for Improved Decision-Making in the Water Sector in Europe. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, 2451–2472, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0274.1

Sauquet, E., Richard B., Devers A., Prudhomme C. 2019 Water restrictions under climate change: a Rhône–Mediterranean perspective combining bottom-up and top-down approaches. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23 (9). 3683-3710. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3683-2019

Slater, L.J., Thirel, G., Harrigan, S., Delaigue, O., Hurley, A., Khouakhi, A., Prosdocimi, I., Vitolo, C., Smith, K., 2019. Using R in hydrology: a review of recent developments and future directions. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 23, 2939–2963, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2939-2019

Smith, K.A., Barker L.J., Tanguy M., Parry S., Harrigan S., Legg T.P., Prudhomme C., Hannaford J. 2019 A multi-objective ensemble approach to hydrological modelling in the UK: an application to historic drought reconstruction. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23 (8). 3247-3268. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3247-2019

Zsoter E., Cloke H.L., Stephens E., de Rosnay P., Muñoz-Sabater J., Prudhomme C., Pappenberger F., 2019. How Well Do Operational Numerical Weather Prediction Configurations Represent Hydrology? J. Hydrometeor. 20 (8): 1533–1552. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0086.1

2018

Alfieri L, Cohen S, Galantowicz J, Schumann G, Trigg M, Zsoter E, Prudhomme C, Kruczkiewicz A, Coughlan de Perez E, Flamig Z, Rudari R, Wu H, Adler R, Brakenridge R, Kettner A, Weerts A, Matgen P, Islam S, de Groeve T, Salamon P, 2018. A global network for operational flood risk reduction. Environmental Science & Policy, 84, p149-158, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.03.014

Collet L, Harrigan S, Prudhomme C, Formetta G, Beevers L, 2018. Future hot-spots for hydro-hazards in Great Britain: a probabilistic assessment, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, p5387–5401, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5387-2018

Giuntoli I, Villarini G, Prudhomme C, Hannah DM, 2018. Uncertainties in projected runoff over the conterminous United States. Climatic Change, 150 (3-4), p149-162, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2280-5

Harrigan S., Prudhomme C., Parry S., Smith K., Tanguy M., 2018,  Benchmarking ensemble streamflow prediction skill in the UK,  Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22(3), 2023–2039, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2023-2018

Harrigan, S., Hannaford, J., Muchan, K., Marsh, T.J., 2018. Designation and trend analysis of the updated UK Benchmark Network of river flow stations: the UKBN2 dataset. Hydrology Research 49, 552–567, https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2017.058

Hersbach, H., de Rosnay, P., Bell, B., Schepers, D., Simmons, A.J., Soci, C., Abdalla, S., Balmaseda, M.A., Balsamo, G., Bechtold, P., Berrisford, P., Bidlot, J., de Boisséson, E., Bonavita, M., Browne, P., Buizza, R., Dahlgren, P., Dee, D.P., Dragani, R., Diamantaki, M., Flemming, J., Forbes, R., Geer, A.J., Haiden, T., Hólm, E.V., Haimberger, L., Hogan, R., Horányi, A., Janisková, M., Laloyaux, P., Lopez, P., Muñoz Sabater, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Richardson, D., Thépaut, J.-N., Vitart, F., Yang, X., Zsótér, E. and Zuo, H., 2018. Operational global reanalysis: progress, future directions and synergies with NWP. ERA Report Series no. 27, ECMWF, Reading, UK. DOI: 10.21957/tkic6g3wm

Hutchins M, Abesser C, Prudhomme C, Elliott JA, Bloomfield JP, Mansour MM, Hitt OE, 2018. Combined impacts of future land-use and climate stressors on water resources and quality in groundwater and surface waterbodies of the upper Thames river basin, UK. Science of the Total Environment. 631, p962-986, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.052

Lavers, David & Richardson, David & Ramos, Alexandre & Zsótér, Ervin & Pappenberger, Florian & Trigo, Ricardo. (2018). Earlier awareness of extreme winter precipitation across the western Iberian Peninsula. Meteorological Applications. 25. 1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1727

Parry S, Wilby R, Prudhomme C, Wood P, McKenzie A, 2018. Demonstrating the utility of a drought termination framework: prospects for groundwater level recovery in England and Wales in 2018 or beyond. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (6), 064040, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4769-2013

Rio M, Rey D, Prudhomme C, Holman I, 2018. Evaluation of changing surface water abstraction reliability for supplemental irrigation under climate change. Agricultural water management, 206, p200-208, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.05.005

Smith K, Wilby R, Broderick C, Prudhomme C, Matthews T, Harrigan S, Murphy C, 2018. Navigating Cascades of Uncertainty — As Easy as ABC? Not Quite… Journal of Extreme Events, 5 (01), p1850007, https://doi.org/10.1142/S2345737618500070

Tanguy M, Prudhomme C, Smith K, Hannaford J, 2018. Historical gridded reconstruction of potential evapotranspiration for the UK. Earth System Science Data, 10(2), p951-968, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-951-2018

Van Lanen H, Prudhomme C, Wanders N, Van Huijgevoort M, 2018. Future Drought. In: Drought Science and Policy, Ed: Ana Iglesias, Dionysis Assimacopoulos, Henny A.J. Van Lanen, John Wiley & Sons

Coughlan de Perez, E.C., van Aalst, M., Bischiniotis, K., Mason, S., Nissan, H., Pappenberger, F., Stephens, E., Zsoter, E. and van den Hurk, B. (2018) Global predictability of temperature extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), 054017. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab94a

2017

Blöschl, G., Hall, J., Parajka, J., Perdigão, R.A.P., Merz, B., Arheimer, B., Aronica, G.T., Bilibashi, A., Bonacci, O., Borga, M., Čanjevac, I., Castellarin, A., Chirico, G.B., Claps, P., Fiala, K., Frolova, N., Gorbachova, L., Gül, A., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Kireeva, M., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T.R., Kohnová, S., Koskela, J.J., Ledvinka, O., Macdonald, N., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Mediero, L., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Murphy, C., Osuch, M., Ovcharuk, V., Radevski, I., Rogger, M., Salinas, J.L., Sauquet, E., Šraj, M., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., Volpi, E., Wilson, D., Zaimi, K., Živković, N., 2017. Changing climate shifts timing of European floods. Science 357, 588–590, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aan2506

Bussi G, Whitehead P, Thomas A, Masante D, Jones L, Cosby BJ, Emmett B, Malham S, Prudhomme C, Prosser H, 2017. Climate and land-use change impact on faecal indicator bacteria in a temperate maritime catchment (the River Conwy, Wales). Journal of hydrology, 553, p248-261, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.08.011

Collet L., Beevers L., Prudhomme C., 2017 Assessing the impact of Climate Change on extreme flows across Great Britain, Water, 9 (2), 103: doi: 10.3390/w9020103

Emerton R., Cloke H., Stephens E., Zsoter E., Woolnough S. J., Pappenberger F., 2017: Complex picture for likelihood of ENSO-driven flood hazard. Nat Commun 8,14796. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14796

Laaha G, Gauster T, Tallaksen L, Vidal J-P, Stahl K, Prudhomme C, Heudorfer B, Vlnas R, Ionita M, Van Lanen H, Adler M-J, Caillouet L, Delus C, Fendekova M, Gailliez S, Hannaford J, Kingston D, Van Loon A, Mediero L, Osuch M, Romanowicz R, Sauquet E, Stagge J, Wong W, 2017. The European 2015 drought from a hydrological perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21 (6), pp.3001-3024. 10.5194/hess-21-3001-2017

Lavers, D. A., Zsoter, E., Richardson, D. S., & Pappenberger, F. (2017). An assessment of the ECMWF extreme forecast index for water vapor transport during boreal winter. Weather and Forecasting, 32(4), 1667-1674. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF‐D‐17‐0073.1

Piniewski M., Prudhomme C., Acreman M., Oglecki P., Tylec L., Okrusko T., 2017: Responses of fish and invertebrates to floods and droughts in Europe, Ecohydrology, 10(1), pe1793, doi: 10.1002/eco.1793

Prudhomme C, Hannaford J, Harrigan S, Boorman D, Knight J, Bell V, Jackson C, Svensson C, Parry S, Bachiller-Jareno N, Davies H, Davis R, Mackay J, McKenzie A, Rudd A, Smith K, Bloomfield J, Ward R, Jenkins A, 2017. Hydrological Outlook UK: an operational streamflow and groundwater level forecasting system at monthly to seasonal time scales. Hydrological sciences journal, 62 (16), p2753-2768, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2017.1395032

Wilby RLW, Clifford NJ, De Luca P, Harrigan S, Hillier J, Hodgkins R, Matthews TR, Johnson MF, Murphy C, Noone S, Parry S, Prudhomme C, Rice S, Slater L, Smith KA, Wood P, 2017. The “dirty dozen” of freshwater science: Detecting then reconciling hydrological data biases and errors. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1209

2016

Bowes, M.J, Loewenthal, M, Read, D. S, Hutchins, M. G, Prudhomme, C, Armstrong, L.K, Harman, S.A., Wickham, H, Gozzard, E, and Carvalho, L, 2016. Identifying multiple stressor controls on phytoplankton dynamics in the River Thames (UK) using high-frequency water quality data, Science of the Total Environment. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.239

Bussi, G., Dadson, S.J., Prudhomme, C. and Whitehead, P.G. 2016. Modelling the future impacts of climate and land-use change on suspended sediment transport in the River Thames (UK). Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.09.010

Bussi, G., Whitehead, P.G., Bowes, M.J., Read, D.S., Prudhomme, C. and Dadson, S.J.: 2016, Impacts of climate change, land-use change and phosphorus removal on phytoplankton in the River Thames (UK), Science Of Total Environment, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.02.109

Clark, Martyn P.; Wilby, Robert L.; Gutmann, Ethan D.; Vano, Julie A.; Gangopadhyay, Subhrendu; Wood, Andrew W.; Fowler, Hayley J.; Prudhomme, C.; Arnold, Jeffrey R.; Brekke, Levi D. 2016 Characterizing uncertainty of the hydrologic impacts of climate change. Current Climate Change Reports. doi: 10.1007/s40641-016-0034-x

Collet, L., Beevers, L., Prudhomme, C., 2016, Assessing the impact of Climate Change on extreme flows across Great Britain. In proceedings of IAHR Europe Congress 2016, Liege, Belgium, 27-29 July 2016

Hutchins, M., Williams, R., Prudhomme, C., Bowes, M., Brown, H., Waylett, A. and Loewenthal, M., 2016: Projections of future deterioration in UK river quality are hampered by climatic uncertainty under extreme conditions, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61 (16), p2818-2833, doi: 10.1080/02626667.2016.1177186

Lavers, D. A., Pappenberger, F., Richardson, D. S., & Zsoter, E. (2016). ECMWF extreme forecast index for water vapor transport: A forecast tool for atmospheric rivers and extreme precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 11,852– 11,858. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071320

Matthews, T., Murphy, C., Wilby, R.L., Harrigan, S., 2016. A cyclone climatology of the British-Irish Isles 1871–2012. Int. J. Climatol. 36, 1299–1312, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4425

Parry, S., Wilby, R.L., Prudhomme, C. and Wood, P.J., 2016: A systematic assessment of drought termination in the United Kingdom. Hydrological and Earth Systems Science, doi: 10.5194/hess-20-4265-2016

Parry, S., Prudhomme, C., Wilby, R.L. and Wood, P.J.: 2016, Drought termination: concept and characterisation. Progress in Physical Geography. doi: 10.1177/0309133316652801

Snow, A. D., Christensen, S. D., Swain, N. R., Nelson, E. J., Ames, D. P., Jones, N. L., Deng, D., Noman, N. S., David, C. H., Pappenberger, F., & Zsoter, E. (2016). A high‐resolution national‐scale hydrologic forecast system from a global ensemble land surface model. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 52(4), 950– 964. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752‐1688.12434

Van Lanen, Henny A.J.; Laaha, Gregor; Kingston, Daniel G.; Gauster, Tobias; Ionita, Monica; Vidal, Jean-Philippe; Vlnas, Radek; Tallaksen, Lena M.; Stahl, Kerstin; Hannaford, Jamie; Delus, Claire; Fendekova, Miriam; Mediero, Luis; Prudhomme, C; Rets, Ekaterina; Romanowicz, Renata J.; Sebastien, Gailliez; Wong, Wai Kwok; Adler, Mary-Jeanne; Blauhut, Veit; Caillouet, Laurie; Chelcea, Silvia; Frolova, Natalia; Gudmundsson, Lukas; Hanel, Martin; Haslinger, Klaus; Kireeva, Maria; Osuch, Marzena; Sauquet, Eric; Stagge, James H.; Van Loon, Anne F.. 2016 Hydrology needed to manage droughts: the 2015 European case. Hydrological Processes. doi: 10.1002/hyp.10838

Wilby, R.L., Noone, S., Murphy, C., Matthews, T., Harrigan, S., Broderick, C., 2016. An evaluation of persistent meteorological drought using a homogeneous Island of Ireland precipitation network. Int. J. Climatol. 36, 2854–2865, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4523

Zsoter, E.; Pappenberger, F.; Smith, P.; Emerton, R.E.; Dutra, E.; Wetterhall, F.; Richardson, D.; Bogner, K.; Balsamo, G. Building a multi-model flood prediction system with the TIGGE archive. J. Hydrometeorol. 2016. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-15-0130.1